2028 Democratic Presidential Nomination

Prediction Markets

Polymarket prices and implied odds for selected candidates to win the 2028 Democratic nomination »»

National Polls

The results of national polling for a preferred Democratic nominee is shown below. While these national polls are directionally interesting, the nominee will ultimately be chosen based on delegates earned during state-by-state primary and caucus votes.

Source		Date	Sample	Harris	Newsom	Buttigieg	Ocasio-Cortez	Kelly	Ossoff	Shapiro	Booker	Pritzker	Beshear	Smith	Whitmer	Moore	Van Hollen	Warnock	Emanuel	Polis	Cooper	Crockett	Cuban	El-Sayed	Fetterman	Gallego	Khanna	Klobuchar	Murphy	Sanders	Spanberger	Stewart	Walz	Warren	Other
Poll Averages†				30.3%	14.3%	10.0%	9.0%	7.0%	7.0%	5.0%	3.5%	3.0%	2.0%	2.0%	2.0%	1.0%	1.0%	1.0%	0.5%	0.5%	0.0%	0.0%	-	-	-	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	-	-	-	0.0%	-	-
	Harvard Caps Harris	9/29/2026	RV · Sample size not reported	38%	17%	11%	12%	-	6%	7%	-	5%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	4%
	McLaughlin & Associates	9/24/2026	463 LV	29%	12%	9%	8%	-	-	5%	4%	2%	-	2%	2%	1%	-	-	1%	1%	0%	0%	-	-	-	-	-	0%	0%	-	-	-	0%	-	24%
	Echelon Insights	9/23/2026	491 LV	24%	14%	10%	7%	7%	8%	3%	3%	2%	2%	-	2%	1%	1%	1%	0%	0%	-	-	-	-	-	0%	0%	-	0%	-	-	-	-	-	15%
	Harvard Caps Harris	9/02/2026	RV · Sample size not reported	42%	18%	9%	9%	-	7%	7%	-	4%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	4%
	Quantus Insights	8/28/2026	515 LV	8%	7%	26%	15%	-	21%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	23%
	McLaughlin & Associates	8/26/2026	474 RV	29%	16%	10%	9%	7%	-	6%	3%	3%	-	0%	2%	1%	-	-	1%	0%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	13%
	The Center Square	8/24/2026	2,533 RV · Margin of error ±2%	28%	14%	12%	7%	5%	-	5%	3%	3%	3%	-	-	1%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1%	1%	2%	-	-	-	-	-	15%
	Echelon Insights	8/18/2026	483 LV	18%	12%	13%	11%	7%	5%	6%	3%	3%	2%	-	2%	1%	-	1%	0%	0%	-	-	-	1%	1%	-	1%	-	0%	-	-	-	-	-	13%
	J.L. Partners	7/26/2026	RV · Sample size not reported	31%	14%	9%	7%	-	4%	5%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	30%
	Emerson College	7/23/2026	574 LV	8%	17%	19%	13%	-	13%	5%	-	3%	7%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	13%
	McLaughlin & Associates	7/22/2026	472 LV	28%	17%	8%	10%	7%	-	4%	2%	3%	-	2%	2%	1%	-	-	1%	2%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	13%
	Echelon Insights	7/14/2026	496 LV	21%	14%	13%	9%	4%	3%	7%	2%	3%	3%	-	2%	1%	-	1%	0%	0%	-	-	-	-	1%	-	1%	-	0%	-	-	-	-	-	15%
	Quantus Insights	7/08/2026	503 LV	35%	18%	13%	11%	-	-	7%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	16%
	J.L. Partners	7/07/2026	1,040 RV	29%	15%	11%	6%	5%	2%	4%	4%	3%	3%	-	2%	1%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0%	0%	1%	1%	-	-	-	-	3%	-	10%
	McLaughlin & Associates	6/26/2026	464 RV	26%	16%	8%	9%	3%	-	5%	5%	5%	-	0%	2%	2%	-	-	1%	0%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	18%
	Echelon Insights	6/17/2026	515 LV	20%	14%	14%	12%	4%	2%	6%	3%	3%	2%	-	2%	1%	-	0%	0%	0%	-	-	-	-	1%	0%	1%	-	1%	-	-	-	-	-	14%
	I&I/TIPP	6/15/2026	593 RV · Margin of error ±4.3%	31%	14%	6%	5%	4%	2%	6%	4%	3%	2%	-	2%	1%	-	1%	-	-	-	-	-	-	1%	-	1%	-	-	-	-	-	2%	-	15%
	Noble Predictive Insights	6/12/2026	1,013 RV · Margin of error ±1.9%	27%	14%	11%	8%	-	-	-	-	2%	2%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	36%
	Harvard Caps Harris	6/02/2026	RV · Sample size not reported	44%	26%	-	8%	-	-	10%	-	8%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	4%
	Overton Insights	5/28/2026	523 RV	9%	13%	16%	12%	4%	-	8%	7%	1%	3%	-	0%	2%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	9%	-	-	-	-	16%
	Emerson College	5/28/2026	432 LV · Margin of error ±4.7%	10%	16%	18%	11%	-	-	10%	-	4%	9%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	21%
	McLaughlin & Associates	5/22/2026	459 LV	28%	16%	9%	7%	-	-	6%	5%	2%	-	1%	2%	1%	-	-	2%	0%	2%	-	-	-	-	-	-	1%	1%	-	-	-	2%	-	15%
	Echelon Insights	5/19/2026	501 LV	23%	17%	10%	11%	6%	1%	5%	3%	4%	2%	-	4%	1%	-	1%	0%	0%	-	-	-	-	1%	0%	1%	-	0%	-	-	-	-	-	10%
	Lake Research Partners	5/15/2026	800 RV · Margin of error ±3.5%	25%	17%	15%	9%	8%	-	6%	5%	4%	3%	-	3%	-	-	-	1%	-	-	-	-	-	-	0%	0%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	4%
	AtlasIntel	5/12/2026	A · Sample size not reported	13%	21%	22%	26%	-	-	2%	4%	-	4%	-	1%	0%	-	0%	1%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1%	-	-	-	-	-	1%	-	4%
	Harvard Caps Harris	4/28/2026	RV · Sample size not reported	50%	22%	-	6%	-	-	9%	-	5%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	8%
	Echelon Insights	4/21/2026	525 LV	22%	21%	12%	10%	3%	2%	5%	4%	3%	2%	-	2%	1%	-	1%	0%	0%	-	-	-	-	0%	0%	1%	-	0%	-	-	-	-	-	11%
	McLaughlin & Associates	4/16/2026	457 LV	29%	15%	10%	4%	-	-	4%	4%	3%	-	2%	4%	2%	-	-	1%	1%	3%	0%	-	-	-	-	-	1%	1%	-	-	-	2%	-	14%
	YouGov	4/13/2026	968 A	24%	12%	9%	9%	5%	-	4%	2%	3%	2%	-	1%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1%	-	7%	-	-	1%	3%	17%
	Yale University	4/13/2026	1,765 RV · Margin of error ±2.3%	20%	19%	14%	13%	7%	1%	4%	2%	4%	2%	-	2%	1%	-	1%	0%	1%	-	-	2%	-	-	0%	-	-	1%	-	1%	-	2%	-	3%
	Harvard Caps Harris	3/30/2026	RV · Sample size not reported	41%	26%	-	8%	-	-	10%	-	7%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	8%
	J.L. Partners	3/24/2026	541 LV · Margin of error ±4.2%	22%	19%	11%	7%	5%	2%	8%	3%	3%	3%	-	2%	1%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1%	1%	0%	1%	-	-	-	-	2%	-	9%
	Noble Predictive Insights	3/18/2026	1,152 RV	31%	16%	7%	6%	4%	-	5%	3%	2%	2%	-	-	1%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0%	2%	0%	-	-	-	-	-	21%
	Echelon Insights	3/16/2026	513 LV	21%	19%	9%	11%	4%	1%	4%	5%	2%	3%	-	2%	2%	-	2%	0%	1%	-	-	-	-	1%	0%	1%	-	1%	-	-	-	-	-	11%
	McLaughlin & Associates	3/10/2026	456 RV	20%	19%	9%	11%	-	-	5%	2%	2%	-	1%	3%	1%	-	-	1%	0%	1%	3%	-	-	-	-	-	3%	1%	-	-	-	2%	-	16%
	J.L. Partners	3/09/2026	1,095 RV · Margin of error ±3%	23%	19%	10%	7%	5%	1%	5%	5%	4%	2%	-	3%	0%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0%	0%	0%	1%	-	-	-	-	2%	-	13%
	Harvard Caps Harris	3/02/2026	RV · Sample size not reported	39%	24%	-	14%	-	-	10%	-	6%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	7%
	Emerson College	2/26/2026	438 LV · Margin of error ±4.6%	13%	20%	16%	9%	-	-	7%	-	3%	5%	-	2%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	25%
	Bowling Green Univ.	2/24/2026	556 RV	18%	21%	11%	11%	7%	-	3%	2%	6%	3%	-	2%	-	-	-	0%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1%	1%	-	-	-	3%	4%	7%
	Echelon Insights	2/23/2026	498 LV	18%	24%	8%	9%	4%	1%	4%	3%	4%	2%	1%	2%	1%	-	1%	0%	1%	-	-	-	-	1%	0%	0%	-	1%	-	-	-	-	-	15%
	Yahoo/YouGov	2/19/2026	511 RV	18%	19%	13%	12%	9%	-	-	3%	6%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	3%	-	17%
	I&I/TIPP	2/16/2026	527 RV · Margin of error ±4.4%	38%	13%	5%	2%	3%	2%	4%	-	3%	2%	-	2%	1%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	3%	-	22%
	Harvard Caps Harris	2/02/2026	RV · Sample size not reported	39%	30%	-	12%	-	-	9%	-	7%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	3%
	Echelon Insights	1/26/2026	502 LV	21%	27%	8%	9%	4%	-	3%	3%	3%	2%	-	3%	1%	-	2%	0%	0%	-	-	-	-	0%	0%	0%	-	0%	-	-	-	-	-	14%
	YouGov	1/16/2026	1,024 A	20%	17%	8%	9%	7%	-	2%	3%	3%	2%	-	0%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0%	-	7%	-	-	1%	3%	18%
	AtlasIntel	12/19/2025	685 A	8%	35%	15%	16%	-	-	6%	3%	-	6%	0%	2%	1%	-	0%	1%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2%	-	-	-	-	-	4%	-	1%
	Echelon Insights	12/16/2025	498 LV	22%	23%	11%	6%	2%	-	4%	4%	5%	3%	-	2%	0%	-	1%	1%	0%	-	-	-	-	0%	0%	0%	-	1%	-	-	-	3%	-	12%
	Echelon Insights	11/17/2025	484 LV	17%	29%	12%	6%	-	-	3%	4%	2%	2%	0%	1%	0%	-	1%	0%	1%	-	2%	3%	-	1%	0%	0%	-	1%	-	-	2%	2%	-	11%
	Emerson College	11/07/2025	417 RV · Margin of error ±4.8%	10%	25%	9%	3%	-	-	3%	1%	2%	2%	-	1%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2%	-	-	-	-	42%
	Echelon Insights	10/21/2025	512 LV	24%	15%	10%	4%	-	-	5%	5%	4%	2%	1%	2%	1%	-	1%	0%	0%	-	3%	1%	-	1%	0%	0%	-	0%	-	-	2%	5%	-	14%
	Echelon Insights	9/22/2025	500 LV	23%	17%	7%	7%	-	-	6%	6%	2%	1%	0%	2%	0%	-	1%	1%	0%	-	3%	3%	-	1%	0%	1%	-	1%	-	-	2%	2%	-	14%
	AtlasIntel	9/19/2025	323 A	21%	37%	12%	11%	-	-	2%	3%	-	3%	0%	0%	1%	-	1%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	4%	-	5%
	YouGov	9/12/2025	519 A · Margin of error ±4%	19%	23%	6%	8%	2%	-	-	1%	4%	-	-	2%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1%	-	5%	-	-	5%	3%	21%
	Yahoo/YouGov	9/04/2025	512 RV	19%	21%	10%	12%	-	-	4%	-	7%	-	-	2%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	4%	-	21%
	Emerson College	8/29/2025	387 LV · Margin of error ±4.9%	11%	25%	16%	4%	-	-	5%	2%	4%	2%	-	2%	2%	-	-	0%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1%	1%	-	3%	-	-	2%	-	20%
	McLaughlin & Associates	8/27/2025	434 RV	27%	18%	9%	4%	-	-	3%	3%	2%	-	1%	2%	1%	-	-	1%	1%	1%	3%	-	-	-	-	-	1%	1%	-	-	-	2%	-	20%
	Echelon Insights	8/18/2025	522 LV	26%	13%	11%	6%	-	-	3%	5%	3%	2%	1%	3%	1%	-	0%	0%	0%	-	3%	2%	-	0%	0%	-	-	0%	-	-	1%	2%	-	18%
	Echelon Insights	7/14/2025	505 LV	26%	10%	11%	6%	-	-	4%	7%	2%	2%	1%	3%	1%	-	1%	0%	0%	-	1%	3%	-	2%	0%	-	-	2%	-	-	1%	3%	-	14%
	Overton Insights	6/27/2025	396 RV	38%	10%	11%	7%	-	-	7%	4%	-	-	2%	5%	2%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	7%	-	7%
	Emerson College	6/27/2025	404 RV · Margin of error ±4.9%	13%	12%	16%	7%	-	-	7%	3%	2%	2%	-	3%	2%	-	-	1%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1%	-	5%	-	-	-	-	26%
	McLaughlin & Associates	5/30/2025	439 LV	29%	4%	10%	9%	-	-	6%	7%	2%	-	1%	3%	0%	-	-	-	1%	1%	2%	-	-	-	-	-	3%	1%	-	-	-	3%	-	18%
	AtlasIntel	5/30/2025	930 A	17%	7%	32%	19%	-	-	5%	10%	0%	0%	0%	4%	-	-	1%	0%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0%	-	0%	-	-	-	-	-	5%
	Echelon Insights	5/12/2025	471 LV	32%	5%	10%	8%	-	-	2%	6%	5%	1%	0%	2%	1%	-	1%	-	1%	-	3%	2%	-	1%	0%	-	-	1%	-	-	1%	5%	-	13%
	McLaughlin & Associates	5/09/2025	442 LV	30%	8%	6%	8%	-	-	4%	7%	3%	-	1%	1%	1%	-	-	-	0%	2%	2%	-	-	-	-	-	2%	1%	-	-	-	4%	-	20%
	Data for Progress	4/16/2025	745 LV · Margin of error ±4%	18%	8%	14%	12%	-	-	5%	12%	4%	2%	0%	4%	1%	-	0%	-	-	-	0%	2%	-	-	-	-	2%	1%	-	-	2%	4%	-	9%
	Echelon Insights	4/16/2025	449 LV	28%	4%	7%	7%	-	-	3%	11%	3%	1%	1%	3%	2%	-	1%	-	1%	-	3%	0%	-	1%	0%	-	-	1%	-	-	3%	5%	-	15%
	Morning Consult	4/03/2025	RV · Sample size not reported	36%	5%	10%	5%	-	-	4%	3%	2%	2%	-	2%	1%	-	1%	1%	1%	-	-	4%	-	1%	0%	-	2%	1%	-	-	-	5%	-	14%
	The Economist / YouGov	4/03/2025	650 RV · Margin of error ±3.1%	25%	9%	12%	9%	5%	-	-	1%	-	-	-	2%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	7%	-	-	5%	2%	23%
	Echelon Insights	3/14/2025	457 LV	33%	7%	10%	7%	-	-	2%	2%	2%	2%	0%	2%	0%	-	1%	-	1%	-	3%	3%	-	1%	0%	-	-	1%	-	-	1%	5%	-	17%
	SurveyUSA	2/21/2025	835 RV · Margin of error ±4.1%	37%	9%	11%	7%	-	-	6%	-	-	3%	-	4%	2%	-	-	-	-	-	-	7%	-	-	-	-	-	1%	-	-	-	-	-	13%
	Echelon Insights	2/13/2025	447 LV	36%	6%	10%	5%	-	-	3%	2%	2%	1%	0%	4%	0%	-	2%	-	1%	-	2%	3%	-	2%	1%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9%	-	11%
	J.L. Partners	2/06/2025	500 RV	30%	8%	-	5%	-	-	5%	3%	3%	2%	-	3%	1%	-	2%	-	-	-	-	-	-	2%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	6%	-	30%

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† An average is calculated when there are multiple qualifying polls. The average includes all polls within seven days of the date of the most recent poll, limited to one poll from any source. If there are fewer than five, the window is expanded to 30 days or five polls, whichever comes first. In the latter scenario, if there are multiple qualifying polls on the same calendar date as the oldest poll used, those will also be included.

State Polls

State polling for 2028 Democratic presidential primaries is limited at this point. One or more surveys is available for the green states on the map. Click or tap for details.